#57 Virginia (13-17)

avg: 1738.83  •  sd: 56.24  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
83 Indiana Loss 10-11 1456.32 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
26 McGill Loss 7-11 1530.23 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
2 North Carolina Loss 7-15 1886.33 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 10-13 1667.14 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
72 Appalachian State Win 10-8 1891.32 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
51 Missouri Loss 9-15 1249.4 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
28 Georgia Tech Loss 7-13 1430.49 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
152 Harvard Win 13-5 1911.24 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
96 Notre Dame Win 13-11 1759.83 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
97 Lehigh Win 11-8 1891.95 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
48 Auburn Loss 12-13 1657.29 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
50 Duke Win 14-11 2085.85 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
31 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 12-9 2266.26 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
35 Ohio State Loss 11-14 1589.91 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
47 Alabama Loss 7-10 1395.14 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
62 Purdue Win 11-10 1814.75 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
45 St Olaf Loss 7-10 1421.68 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
20 Washington University Loss 8-11 1720.55 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
47 Alabama Loss 9-12 1439.44 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
61 Chicago Win 9-7 1973.66 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
67 Stanford Loss 7-10 1281.9 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
204 Virginia Commonwealth Win 15-7 1707.98 Apr 20th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2024
44 Virginia Tech Win 14-7 2397.29 Apr 20th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2024
70 James Madison Loss 10-14 1234.49 Apr 21st Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2024
70 James Madison Win 15-9 2148.67 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
2 North Carolina Loss 7-15 1886.33 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
42 South Carolina Win 15-13 2060.95 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
64 Maryland Win 14-13 1802.89 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 12-13 1870.28 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
44 Virginia Tech Loss 3-7 1214.41 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)