#195 Alabama-Birmingham (19-16)

avg: 1142.26  •  sd: 49.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
403 Southern Mississippi** Win 11-2 636.96 Ignored Feb 3rd Black Warrior Classic
242 Mississippi State -B Win 11-7 1452.95 Feb 3rd Black Warrior Classic
132 Alabama-C Loss 8-11 1011.1 Feb 3rd Black Warrior Classic
277 Jacksonville State Loss 10-11 717.53 Feb 3rd Black Warrior Classic
303 Alabama-B Win 9-6 1129.68 Feb 4th Black Warrior Classic
403 Southern Mississippi** Win 11-3 636.96 Ignored Feb 4th Black Warrior Classic
277 Jacksonville State Win 11-6 1389.23 Feb 4th Black Warrior Classic
146 Clemson Win 11-10 1443.35 Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
325 South Carolina-B Win 12-6 1200.24 Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
183 South Florida Loss 7-9 907.19 Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
261 Georgia Tech-B Loss 6-10 408.12 Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
346 Coastal Carolina** Win 13-1 1131.02 Ignored Feb 25th Joint Summit 2024
325 South Carolina-B Win 13-6 1220.93 Feb 25th Joint Summit 2024
146 Clemson Loss 12-13 1193.35 Feb 25th Joint Summit 2024
261 Georgia Tech-B Win 7-1 1504.28 Feb 25th Joint Summit 2024
89 Florida State Loss 7-12 1030.77 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
372 North Florida Win 11-7 822.63 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
146 Clemson Loss 9-10 1193.35 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
82 Mississippi State Loss 7-13 1025.37 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
48 Auburn Loss 6-10 1286.13 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
146 Clemson Loss 4-6 952.74 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
183 South Florida Win 11-9 1435.73 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
303 Alabama-B Win 10-8 973.78 Mar 23rd Magic City Invite 2024
88 Berry Loss 8-10 1289.02 Mar 23rd Magic City Invite 2024
358 Samford Win 10-8 727.76 Mar 23rd Magic City Invite 2024
242 Mississippi State -B Loss 10-11 861.06 Mar 23rd Magic City Invite 2024
277 Jacksonville State Win 13-11 1071.37 Mar 24th Magic City Invite 2024
242 Mississippi State -B Win 13-7 1543.59 Mar 24th Magic City Invite 2024
88 Berry Win 13-12 1676.68 Mar 24th Magic City Invite 2024
82 Mississippi State Loss 8-13 1086.74 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
48 Auburn** Loss 4-13 1182.29 Ignored Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
277 Jacksonville State Win 10-7 1232.2 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
43 Tulane** Loss 4-12 1238.42 Ignored Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
116 LSU Win 9-8 1556.09 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
111 Vanderbilt Loss 6-13 857.16 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)