#102 Connecticut (22-9)

avg: 1495.12  •  sd: 36.11  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 9-10 1470.69 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
103 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 9-11 1242.44 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
204 Virginia Commonwealth Win 10-7 1497.65 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
59 William & Mary Loss 9-10 1602.3 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
226 American Win 14-4 1633.12 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
204 Virginia Commonwealth Win 15-2 1707.98 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
104 Liberty Win 12-10 1728.85 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
141 Boston University Win 10-8 1604.98 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
175 Delaware Win 9-8 1346.88 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
25 Middlebury Loss 5-12 1404.07 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
163 Columbia Win 10-8 1538.09 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
175 Delaware Win 8-6 1522.37 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
55 Williams Loss 10-11 1624.57 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
176 Navy Win 12-11 1337.43 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
120 Syracuse Win 11-10 1528.26 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
300 SUNY-Stony Brook** Win 11-4 1314.83 Ignored Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
26 McGill Loss 9-13 1578.55 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
163 Columbia Win 9-7 1554.76 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
92 Pennsylvania Loss 10-11 1414.36 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
131 Yale Win 12-7 1899.88 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
93 Princeton Win 7-6 1663.03 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
275 Central Connecticut State** Win 13-2 1448.66 Ignored Apr 13th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
379 Southern Connecticut State** Win 13-2 900.57 Ignored Apr 13th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
240 SUNY-Albany Win 13-1 1587.78 Apr 13th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
131 Yale Win 10-9 1504.37 Apr 14th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
163 Columbia Loss 10-12 1037.3 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
272 Rowan Win 15-7 1456.78 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
191 NYU Win 13-11 1385.65 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
162 Rutgers Loss 11-12 1157.55 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
240 SUNY-Albany Win 15-3 1587.78 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
166 RIT Win 11-8 1633.43 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)