#359 Cornell-B (12-14)

avg: 397.78  •  sd: 66.28  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
355 Army Loss 3-5 -4.72 Mar 1st Garden State 2025
246 Connecticut College Loss 4-14 285.45 Mar 1st Garden State 2025
389 Stevens Tech Win 15-3 786.02 Mar 1st Garden State 2025
322 Central Connecticut State Win 10-8 857.73 Mar 2nd Garden State 2025
337 Pennsylvania Western Win 9-3 1151.1 Mar 2nd Garden State 2025
311 Swarthmore Loss 3-13 32.71 Mar 2nd Garden State 2025
208 Towson** Loss 2-13 424.8 Ignored Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
266 Drexel Loss 9-11 556.09 Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
416 Siena** Win 13-5 186.18 Ignored Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
332 Villanova Loss 7-13 12.05 Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
416 Siena** Win 13-1 186.18 Ignored Mar 16th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
208 Towson** Loss 2-15 424.8 Ignored Mar 16th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
332 Villanova Win 7-4 1065.74 Mar 16th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
418 SUNY-Albany-B** Win 13-4 98.08 Ignored Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
389 Stevens Tech Win 10-5 759.92 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
211 Vermont-C Loss 3-7 415.81 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
331 Hofstra Loss 5-9 41.84 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
384 West Chester-B Win 11-10 349.54 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
314 Rowan Win 10-9 748.62 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
331 Hofstra Loss 9-11 321.69 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
329 Connecticut-B Loss 3-5 156.44 Apr 19th Metro East Dev Mens Conferences 2025
380 SUNY-Binghamton-B Loss 3-5 -173.52 Apr 19th Metro East Dev Mens Conferences 2025
365 SUNY-Buffalo-B Loss 4-7 -124.48 Apr 19th Metro East Dev Mens Conferences 2025
407 RIT-B Win 5-2 544.07 Apr 19th Metro East Dev Mens Conferences 2025
329 Connecticut-B Loss 9-11 325.79 Apr 20th Metro East Dev Mens Conferences 2025
418 SUNY-Albany-B** Win 13-0 98.08 Ignored Apr 20th Metro East Dev Mens Conferences 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)