#331 Hofstra (11-16)

avg: 574.45  •  sd: 63.04  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
161 Delaware** Loss 3-10 630.36 Ignored Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
197 Haverford Loss 3-13 478.47 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
160 Ithaca** Loss 1-13 630.7 Ignored Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
235 Skidmore Loss 7-13 369.47 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
335 Connecticut-B Loss 3-7 -41.1 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
337 Delaware-B Win 9-7 823.91 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
313 Rowan Loss 6-9 210.2 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
356 Cornell-B Win 9-5 928.44 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
213 Vermont-C Loss 2-13 420.8 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
389 Stevens Tech Loss 6-7 62.46 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
419 SUNY-Albany-B** Win 12-2 98.62 Ignored Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
356 Cornell-B Win 11-9 648.59 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
417 Siena** Win 13-1 187.6 Ignored Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
381 SUNY-Binghamton-B Win 13-2 844.65 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
108 Columbia** Loss 3-15 843.45 Ignored Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
248 NYU Win 12-10 1126.14 Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
386 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 15-5 795.2 Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
313 Rowan Loss 7-15 28.76 Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
386 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 15-2 795.2 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
219 Princeton Loss 4-15 409.83 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
386 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 9-5 724.26 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
108 Columbia** Loss 5-15 843.45 Ignored Apr 26th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
123 Connecticut** Loss 0-15 760.44 Ignored Apr 26th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
212 SUNY-Albany Loss 8-15 458.63 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
325 Central Connecticut State Loss 10-11 472.71 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
335 Connecticut-B Loss 11-12 433.9 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
313 Rowan Win 6-2 1228.76 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)