#207 Towson (10-13)

avg: 1039.2  •  sd: 67.6  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
80 Case Western Reserve Loss 6-10 1066.23 Mar 1st Oak Creek Challenge 2025
115 RIT Win 9-7 1663.56 Mar 1st Oak Creek Challenge 2025
328 SUNY-Cortland Win 13-1 1181.81 Mar 1st Oak Creek Challenge 2025
94 Lehigh Loss 7-10 1091.15 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2025
115 RIT Loss 5-10 810.32 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2025
149 Rutgers Loss 7-10 889 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2025
356 Cornell-B** Win 13-2 999.38 Ignored Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
265 Drexel Win 13-2 1416.74 Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
417 Siena** Win 13-0 187.6 Ignored Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
329 Villanova Win 13-1 1176.88 Mar 15th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
356 Cornell-B** Win 15-2 999.38 Ignored Mar 16th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
265 Drexel Win 13-7 1374.27 Mar 16th Natalies Animal Rescue 2025
141 Pittsburgh-B Loss 9-11 1049.11 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
149 Rutgers Loss 8-10 1016 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
146 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 4-15 683.61 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
99 Syracuse Loss 9-14 994.59 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
123 Connecticut Loss 10-11 1235.44 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
248 NYU Win 15-1 1488.02 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
181 American Loss 8-14 618.97 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
154 Johns Hopkins Loss 6-11 709.64 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
55 Maryland Loss 6-11 1148.38 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
298 Maryland-Baltimore County Loss 5-6 575.36 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
298 Maryland-Baltimore County Win 15-14 825.36 Apr 13th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)