#160 Ithaca (17-11)

avg: 1230.7  •  sd: 69.35  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
161 Delaware Win 11-9 1479.56 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
197 Haverford Win 12-5 1678.47 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
331 Hofstra** Win 13-1 1174.45 Ignored Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
223 Colby Win 13-6 1582.72 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
179 Dickinson Loss 10-13 838.11 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
197 Haverford Loss 5-9 549.41 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
146 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 4-13 683.61 Mar 22nd Salt City Classic
76 Williams Loss 7-11 1125.63 Mar 22nd Salt City Classic
81 Rochester Loss 7-13 997.59 Mar 22nd Salt City Classic
347 Rensselaer Polytech** Win 13-2 1061.28 Ignored Mar 22nd Salt City Classic
182 Carleton University Loss 11-13 924.35 Mar 23rd Salt City Classic
347 Rensselaer Polytech** Win 15-6 1061.28 Ignored Mar 23rd Salt City Classic
235 Skidmore Win 9-6 1345.57 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
192 Vassar Win 10-4 1693.07 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
267 SUNY-Geneseo Win 9-5 1338.7 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
212 SUNY-Albany Loss 7-9 744.1 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
197 Haverford Win 13-7 1636 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
210 Penn State-B Win 13-7 1585.07 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
192 Vassar Loss 10-11 968.07 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
177 Hamilton Win 12-8 1611.04 Apr 12th Western NY D III Mens Conferences 2025
358 SUNY-Oneonta** Win 15-0 992.82 Ignored Apr 12th Western NY D III Mens Conferences 2025
81 Rochester Loss 4-15 955.12 Apr 13th Western NY D III Mens Conferences 2025
415 New Haven** Win 13-0 258.52 Ignored Apr 26th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
235 Skidmore Win 12-7 1447.51 Apr 26th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
81 Rochester Loss 8-11 1189.51 Apr 26th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
177 Hamilton Win 10-8 1432.55 Apr 27th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
267 SUNY-Geneseo Win 12-6 1388.95 Apr 27th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
81 Rochester Loss 6-15 955.12 Apr 27th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)