#197 Haverford (18-12)

avg: 1078.47  •  sd: 68.84  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
161 Delaware Win 9-8 1355.36 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
160 Ithaca Loss 5-12 630.7 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
331 Hofstra Win 13-3 1174.45 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
214 MIT Win 10-8 1283.34 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
113 West Chester Loss 8-12 951.48 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
160 Ithaca Win 9-5 1759.76 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
95 Bowdoin Loss 5-10 906.27 Mar 1st Garden State 2025
262 Brown-B Win 10-7 1218.66 Mar 1st Garden State 2025
210 Penn State-B Win 8-7 1152.54 Mar 1st Garden State 2025
152 Rhode Island Loss 4-9 668.42 Mar 1st Garden State 2025
247 Connecticut College Win 8-7 1014.56 Mar 2nd Garden State 2025
277 Salisbury Loss 8-10 516.92 Mar 2nd Garden State 2025
352 Army Win 11-6 963.91 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
244 College of New Jersey Loss 9-11 653.4 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
328 SUNY-Cortland Win 13-6 1181.81 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
210 Penn State-B Loss 8-10 764.87 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
244 College of New Jersey Win 13-5 1502.61 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
213 Vermont-C Win 13-11 1249.64 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
160 Ithaca Loss 7-13 673.17 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
267 SUNY-Geneseo Win 12-7 1330.15 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
234 Scranton Loss 4-15 328.55 Apr 12th East Penn D III Mens Conferences 2025
353 Lehigh-B** Win 13-3 1013.51 Ignored Apr 12th East Penn D III Mens Conferences 2025
310 Swarthmore Win 13-5 1237.35 Apr 12th East Penn D III Mens Conferences 2025
179 Dickinson Win 13-6 1766.25 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
234 Scranton Win 11-9 1177.75 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
145 Oberlin Loss 6-10 788.64 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
131 Kenyon Win 13-6 1929.6 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
179 Dickinson Loss 4-15 566.25 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
180 Grove City Loss 12-13 1033.45 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
241 Xavier Win 13-10 1241.42 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)