#111 Kansas (6-6)

avg: 1001.06  •  sd: 100.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
256 John Brown** Win 10-3 442.24 Ignored Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
200 Truman State Win 10-3 1036.94 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
55 St Olaf Loss 3-12 841.89 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
92 Iowa State Win 7-6 1237.02 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
28 Missouri** Loss 2-11 1134.08 Ignored Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
142 Saint Louis Win 13-6 1338.41 Apr 12th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2025
44 Washington University Loss 6-15 963.11 Apr 12th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2025
97 Arkansas Loss 1-13 493.15 Apr 13th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2025
216 Washington University-B** Win 14-6 864.3 Ignored Apr 13th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2025
54 Colorado State Loss 6-15 855.89 Apr 26th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
4 Colorado** Loss 1-13 1727.97 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
107 Denver Win 10-8 1293.85 Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)