#92 Iowa State (18-12)

avg: 1112.02  •  sd: 62.93  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 Missouri** Loss 3-12 1134.08 Ignored Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
194 St Olaf-B** Win 10-2 1071.63 Ignored Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
186 Missouri State** Win 9-3 1098.4 Ignored Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
194 St Olaf-B Win 8-4 1036.44 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
111 Kansas Loss 6-7 876.06 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
246 Wisconsin-B Win 10-5 601.86 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
129 Winona State Win 6-4 1211.35 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
200 Truman State** Win 9-3 1036.94 Ignored Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
142 Saint Louis Win 11-4 1338.41 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
132 Iowa Loss 8-9 701.85 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
55 St Olaf Loss 4-8 877.08 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
88 Michigan Tech Win 11-8 1501.03 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
217 Wisconsin-Milwaukee** Win 13-1 861.14 Ignored Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
110 Michigan State Loss 8-10 743.28 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
118 Northwestern Win 11-10 1064.61 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
147 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 11-6 1271.59 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
62 Chicago Win 7-4 1839.86 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
99 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 9-8 1211.22 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
74 Purdue Loss 2-6 660.76 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
132 Iowa Win 7-6 951.85 Apr 12th Western North Central D I Womens Conferences 2025
24 Minnesota Loss 7-10 1431.7 Apr 12th Western North Central D I Womens Conferences 2025
215 Minnesota-Duluth Win 9-4 868.78 Apr 12th Western North Central D I Womens Conferences 2025
24 Minnesota** Loss 4-10 1221.36 Ignored Apr 12th Western North Central D I Womens Conferences 2025
2 Carleton College** Loss 2-15 1963.52 Ignored Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
195 Minnesota-B** Win 15-1 1068.5 Ignored Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
95 Marquette Win 8-7 1219.28 Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
35 Wisconsin Loss 8-9 1508.39 Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
2 Carleton College** Loss 5-15 1963.52 Ignored Apr 27th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
132 Iowa Win 13-11 1055.69 Apr 27th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
35 Wisconsin Loss 6-15 1033.39 Apr 27th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)