#35 Wisconsin (16-12)

avg: 1633.39  •  sd: 60.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
128 North Carolina-Wilmington** Win 13-1 1447.3 Ignored Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
5 Vermont** Loss 2-13 1686.29 Ignored Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
37 William & Mary Loss 9-13 1183.07 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
69 North Carolina State Win 8-4 1858.05 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
26 Northeastern Loss 4-9 1199.41 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
61 Brown Win 8-6 1651.61 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
13 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 9-12 1734.51 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
15 California-Santa Cruz Loss 6-13 1443.77 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
8 Stanford Loss 5-13 1534.01 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
40 California Win 8-7 1706.88 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
23 California-Davis Loss 7-8 1756.12 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
47 American Win 12-6 2120.88 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
34 Cornell Win 13-4 2240.76 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
31 Pittsburgh Loss 8-11 1325.53 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
104 Yale Win 15-3 1640.63 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
38 MIT Win 8-6 1888.09 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
22 Ohio State Loss 10-13 1563.39 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
20 Pennsylvania Loss 7-8 1787.4 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
95 Marquette Win 12-6 1673.59 Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Womens Conferences 2025
217 Wisconsin-Milwaukee** Win 15-2 861.14 Ignored Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Womens Conferences 2025
99 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 8-6 1386.72 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Womens Conferences 2025
2 Carleton College** Loss 5-15 1963.52 Ignored Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
92 Iowa State Win 9-8 1237.02 Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
95 Marquette Win 15-3 1694.28 Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
215 Minnesota-Duluth** Win 15-3 868.78 Ignored Apr 26th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
92 Iowa State Win 15-6 1712.02 Apr 27th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
24 Minnesota Loss 9-12 1476 Apr 27th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
99 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 15-4 1686.22 Apr 27th North Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)