#106 San Diego State (15-12)

avg: 1039.72  •  sd: 53.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
242 Arizona-B** Win 13-4 644.21 Ignored Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
187 Colorado-B Win 9-6 916.45 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
107 Denver Win 10-9 1156.18 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
134 Northern Arizona Win 10-8 1079.2 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
78 Grand Canyon Win 9-6 1638.47 Jan 26th New Year Fest 2025
134 Northern Arizona Win 11-7 1283.43 Jan 26th New Year Fest 2025
123 California-San Diego-B Win 7-4 1411.9 Mar 8th Gnomageddon
222 California-Santa Barbara-B** Win 9-2 814.54 Ignored Mar 8th Gnomageddon
196 UCLA-B Win 9-4 1068.07 Mar 8th Gnomageddon
83 California-Irvine Win 6-5 1319.75 Mar 9th Gnomageddon
123 California-San Diego-B Win 7-5 1243.88 Mar 9th Gnomageddon
249 California-San Diego-C Win 8-4 545.25 Mar 9th Gnomageddon
40 California Loss 10-15 1128.27 Mar 22nd Womens Centex 2025
67 Illinois Loss 6-13 709.59 Mar 22nd Womens Centex 2025
12 Utah** Loss 4-13 1493.58 Ignored Mar 22nd Womens Centex 2025
148 Boston University Win 14-11 1036.83 Mar 23rd Womens Centex 2025
73 Colorado College Loss 8-9 1143.82 Mar 23rd Womens Centex 2025
83 California-Irvine Loss 9-10 1069.75 Apr 12th SoCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
10 California-San Diego** Loss 3-15 1513.72 Ignored Apr 12th SoCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
30 UCLA** Loss 5-15 1118.34 Ignored Apr 12th SoCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
220 Cal State-Long Beach** Win 13-5 822.63 Ignored Apr 13th SoCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
30 UCLA** Loss 4-15 1118.34 Ignored Apr 13th SoCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
14 California-Santa Barbara** Loss 3-15 1469.99 Ignored Apr 26th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
78 Grand Canyon Loss 8-13 723.74 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
68 Santa Clara Loss 10-13 971.93 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
165 Cal Poly-SLO-B Win 14-10 1034.75 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
83 California-Irvine Loss 8-10 932.09 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)