#68 Santa Clara (16-12)

avg: 1300.07  •  sd: 50.11  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
76 Portland Loss 5-9 694.91 Feb 1st Stanford Open Womens
141 Stanford-B Win 13-3 1345.35 Feb 1st Stanford Open Womens
143 California-B Win 13-0 1334.19 Feb 2nd Stanford Open Womens
46 Carleton College-Eclipse Win 7-5 1873.18 Feb 2nd Stanford Open Womens
52 Oregon State Win 11-9 1713.3 Feb 2nd Stanford Open Womens
219 Cal Poly-Humboldt Win 13-6 829.91 Feb 15th Santa Clara University WLT Tournament
143 California-B Win 10-6 1230.35 Feb 15th Santa Clara University WLT Tournament
178 Nevada-Reno Win 12-7 1083.99 Feb 15th Santa Clara University WLT Tournament
192 California-Davis-B Win 13-6 1075.58 Feb 16th Santa Clara University WLT Tournament
83 California-Irvine Loss 9-10 1069.75 Feb 16th Santa Clara University WLT Tournament
182 Occidental** Win 13-5 1134.79 Ignored Feb 16th Santa Clara University WLT Tournament
23 California-Davis Loss 3-12 1281.12 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
15 California-Santa Cruz Loss 7-13 1486.24 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
26 Northeastern Loss 7-13 1241.88 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
61 Brown Win 8-7 1476.12 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
31 Pittsburgh Loss 5-8 1237.54 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
40 California Loss 11-12 1456.88 Apr 12th NorCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
15 California-Santa Cruz** Loss 5-14 1443.77 Ignored Apr 12th NorCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
219 Cal Poly-Humboldt** Win 15-3 829.91 Ignored Apr 13th NorCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
23 California-Davis Loss 8-12 1439.97 Apr 13th NorCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
178 Nevada-Reno Win 11-6 1110.18 Apr 13th NorCal D I Womens Conferences 2025
114 Arizona State Win 15-6 1555.88 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
40 California Loss 11-15 1200.71 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
123 California-San Diego-B Win 14-4 1515.74 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
106 San Diego State Win 13-10 1367.86 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
40 California Loss 8-15 1017.07 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
78 Grand Canyon Win 13-10 1548.04 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
30 UCLA Loss 7-15 1118.34 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)