#162 Emory (9-15)

avg: 816.03  •  sd: 62.72  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
91 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 6-8 1005.22 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
33 Union (Tennessee)** Loss 1-12 1201.17 Ignored Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
218 Georgia-B Win 6-3 831.06 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
129 Illinois Loss 4-7 541.34 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
31 Alabama-Huntsville** Loss 2-13 1232.1 Ignored Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
174 Kentucky Win 6-3 1265.29 Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
129 Illinois Win 9-7 1316.84 Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
50 Georgetown** Loss 1-13 1001.27 Ignored Mar 23rd Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
188 Wake Forest Loss 1-10 -33.55 Mar 23rd Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
35 St Olaf** Loss 0-13 1178.48 Ignored Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
123 East Carolina Loss 3-9 473.86 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
188 Wake Forest Win 10-2 1166.45 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
55 Georgia Tech** Loss 3-15 948.96 Ignored Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
63 Tennessee** Loss 2-15 878.12 Ignored Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
249 Emory-B** Win 13-3 600 Ignored Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
91 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 5-13 705.72 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
218 Georgia-B Win 12-5 884.36 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
226 Georgia Southern** Win 9-2 798.86 Ignored Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
91 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 5-7 977.57 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
63 Tennessee** Loss 2-17 878.12 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
61 Florida** Loss 2-15 893.44 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
107 Florida State Loss 4-12 582.08 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
221 LSU Win 10-1 856.64 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
170 Jacksonville State Win 7-5 1089.92 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)