#66 Auburn (15-13)

avg: 1640.44  •  sd: 61.6  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
92 Yale Win 13-7 2047.75 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
69 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 12-9 1964.34 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
4 North Carolina** Loss 2-13 1759.83 Ignored Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 6-8 1451.46 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
88 Carnegie Mellon Loss 6-7 1381.57 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
79 Notre Dame Win 13-8 2067.87 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
59 James Madison Loss 10-11 1544.73 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
146 SUNY-Binghamton Win 10-3 1883.61 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
35 South Carolina Loss 7-13 1276.68 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
70 Dartmouth Loss 10-15 1164.9 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
74 Temple Win 14-12 1820.97 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
77 Ohio State Loss 8-15 1023.26 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
286 North Florida Win 15-7 1349.45 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
132 Florida State Win 14-9 1801.4 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
122 Clemson Win 11-4 1961.6 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
38 Ave Maria Loss 7-11 1349.05 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
128 LSU Win 10-9 1466.01 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
190 Vanderbilt Win 13-5 1706.32 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
50 Tulane Loss 7-11 1262.22 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
100 Alabama Loss 7-8 1340.6 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
68 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 12-14 1408.96 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
171 Alabama-Birmingham Win 15-4 1792.55 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
47 Emory Win 14-13 1880.99 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
50 Tulane Loss 10-15 1275.51 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
132 Florida State Win 15-8 1892.34 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
38 Ave Maria Win 14-10 2214.65 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 8-15 1433.69 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
50 Tulane Win 15-10 2182.72 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)