#69 North Carolina-Charlotte (13-17)

avg: 1618.97  •  sd: 65.37  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
60 Carleton College-CHOP Win 13-11 1890.72 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
62 North Carolina State Loss 11-13 1422.49 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
74 Temple Win 13-8 2096.17 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
35 South Carolina Loss 12-15 1533.71 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
28 Virginia Loss 10-12 1643.96 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 8-14 1215.91 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
66 Auburn Loss 9-12 1295.08 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
4 North Carolina** Loss 2-13 1759.83 Ignored Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
92 Yale Loss 7-13 932.69 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
61 Michigan State Loss 6-8 1358.15 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
53 William & Mary Loss 7-10 1320.63 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
181 American Win 11-6 1701.7 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
179 Dickinson Win 11-7 1633.14 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
172 East Carolina Win 12-6 1763.71 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
401 George Washington-B** Win 15-1 626.88 Ignored Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
112 Liberty Loss 6-11 858.89 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
111 Vermont-B Win 15-11 1799.48 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
45 Virginia Tech Loss 12-13 1650.6 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
106 Appalachian State Win 13-8 1945.65 Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
168 Charleston Win 8-5 1661.48 Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
62 North Carolina State Win 12-7 2171.84 Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
35 South Carolina Loss 11-13 1605.37 Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
4 North Carolina** Loss 5-15 1759.83 Ignored Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 10-15 1298.35 Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
106 Appalachian State Win 15-11 1830.65 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
112 Liberty Win 15-9 1921.07 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
4 North Carolina** Loss 4-15 1759.83 Ignored Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
62 North Carolina State Win 12-9 1996.7 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
59 James Madison Loss 10-14 1271.03 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
55 Maryland Loss 11-12 1570.07 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)