#77 Ohio State (17-17)

avg: 1588.07  •  sd: 54.47  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
106 Appalachian State Win 13-10 1777.63 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 8-13 1255.79 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
35 South Carolina Loss 10-13 1506.06 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
106 Appalachian State Win 13-8 1945.65 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
33 Elon Loss 8-13 1346.5 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
74 Temple Loss 12-15 1299.52 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
63 Duke Loss 10-11 1523.79 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
196 Kennesaw State Win 10-9 1207.65 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
37 McGill Loss 4-10 1218.23 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
28 Virginia Loss 9-13 1463.51 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
66 Auburn Win 15-8 2205.25 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
64 Georgetown Loss 12-15 1345.21 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
79 Notre Dame Win 15-8 2136.51 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
96 Missouri Loss 8-10 1214.91 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
150 Macalester Win 14-11 1590.68 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
90 Texas A&M Win 12-9 1841.81 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
46 Stanford Loss 6-13 1165.36 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
56 Indiana Loss 10-11 1553.9 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
72 St Olaf Win 12-9 1951.75 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
90 Texas A&M Loss 6-8 1195.95 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
217 Akron Win 10-4 1614.04 Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
39 Cincinnati Loss 11-12 1686.62 Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
218 Miami (Ohio) Win 13-4 1611.72 Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
346 Wright State** Win 13-4 1070.23 Ignored Apr 12th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
80 Case Western Reserve Win 13-8 2058.55 Apr 13th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
80 Case Western Reserve Win 14-12 1783.34 Apr 13th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
39 Cincinnati Loss 5-15 1211.62 Apr 13th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2025
243 Kent State** Win 15-6 1506.75 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
94 Lehigh Win 11-8 1846.43 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
113 West Chester Loss 9-12 1047.27 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
29 Pittsburgh Loss 10-13 1550.67 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
80 Case Western Reserve Win 12-10 1800.51 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
39 Cincinnati Win 15-13 2025.8 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
22 Penn State Loss 9-15 1477.48 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)