#47 Emory (18-16)

avg: 1755.99  •  sd: 47.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
126 Central Florida Win 13-5 1946.48 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
51 Cornell Loss 9-10 1598.89 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
90 Texas A&M Win 10-6 1992.6 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
7 Brigham Young Loss 8-13 1750.01 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
17 Brown Win 13-11 2284.1 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
50 Tulane Win 12-11 1854.12 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
17 Brown Loss 8-13 1559.1 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
27 Minnesota Loss 11-13 1662.94 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
99 Syracuse Win 12-8 1909.61 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
64 Georgetown Win 13-6 2245.71 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
74 Temple Win 12-7 2120.52 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 11-6 2298.64 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
28 Virginia Loss 13-15 1667.9 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
56 Indiana Win 14-10 2077.61 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
35 South Carolina Loss 13-15 1620.03 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
42 Colorado State Loss 10-12 1546.64 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Loss 10-14 1274.63 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
12 Washington University Loss 8-11 1738.69 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
79 Notre Dame Loss 10-14 1173 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
93 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Win 11-8 1853.24 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
90 Texas A&M Win 13-11 1725.28 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
56 Indiana Win 11-4 2278.9 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
252 East Tennessee State** Win 13-5 1470.51 Ignored Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
233 Georgia Southern** Win 13-2 1535.26 Ignored Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
196 Kennesaw State Win 12-6 1661.96 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 12-13 1873.5 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
98 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 15-10 1925.82 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 10-14 1599.8 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
100 Alabama Win 15-10 1919.2 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
171 Alabama-Birmingham Win 15-8 1757.35 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
66 Auburn Loss 13-14 1515.44 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
50 Tulane Loss 11-13 1500.28 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
38 Ave Maria Loss 13-15 1601.77 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 10-15 1544.89 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)