#94 Lehigh (18-11)

avg: 1480.82  •  sd: 60.68  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
108 Columbia Loss 10-11 1318.45 Feb 8th NJ Warmup 2025
149 Rutgers Win 10-6 1774.83 Feb 8th NJ Warmup 2025
219 Princeton Win 11-8 1375.44 Feb 8th NJ Warmup 2025
167 Pennsylvania Win 13-12 1334.59 Feb 8th NJ Warmup 2025
154 Johns Hopkins Loss 3-5 837.77 Mar 1st Oak Creek Challenge 2025
149 Rutgers Loss 8-10 1016 Mar 1st Oak Creek Challenge 2025
97 SUNY-Buffalo Win 10-5 2048.53 Mar 1st Oak Creek Challenge 2025
80 Case Western Reserve Loss 7-12 1041.87 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2025
113 West Chester Loss 7-9 1113.3 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2025
207 Towson Win 10-7 1428.87 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2025
232 George Washington Win 13-4 1540.66 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
115 RIT Win 13-7 1941.75 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
239 Wake Forest Win 15-9 1435.14 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
45 Virginia Tech Loss 8-14 1239.57 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
179 Dickinson Win 14-12 1387.21 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
63 Duke Win 11-8 2014.4 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
112 Liberty Loss 10-12 1167.47 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
265 Drexel** Win 13-3 1416.74 Ignored Apr 12th East Penn D I Mens Conferences
74 Temple Loss 10-13 1271.87 Apr 12th East Penn D I Mens Conferences
167 Pennsylvania Win 11-10 1334.59 Apr 12th East Penn D I Mens Conferences
113 West Chester Win 9-5 1921.7 Apr 12th East Penn D I Mens Conferences
74 Temple Loss 6-11 1053.32 Apr 13th East Penn D I Mens Conferences
113 West Chester Win 11-6 1939.33 Apr 13th East Penn D I Mens Conferences
218 Miami (Ohio) Win 14-9 1485.59 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
167 Pennsylvania Win 13-9 1628.15 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
22 Penn State Loss 7-15 1392.96 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
77 Ohio State Loss 8-11 1222.46 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
167 Pennsylvania Win 13-6 1809.59 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
141 Pittsburgh-B Win 13-7 1855.85 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)