#47 Alabama (16-14)

avg: 1784.81  •  sd: 58.51  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
172 Union (Tennessee) Win 11-7 1700.57 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
116 LSU Win 9-7 1710.43 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
242 Mississippi State -B** Win 13-2 1586.06 Ignored Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
277 Jacksonville State** Win 15-2 1442.53 Ignored Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 12-13 1393.93 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
44 Virginia Tech Loss 10-13 1486.26 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
50 Duke Loss 10-13 1444.37 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
16 Penn State Loss 6-13 1548.22 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
64 Maryland Win 13-5 2277.89 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
62 Purdue Loss 10-11 1564.75 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
56 Temple Win 14-9 2217.54 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
74 Cincinnati Win 15-6 2214 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
28 Georgia Tech Loss 9-15 1472.54 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
45 St Olaf Loss 9-13 1392.78 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
20 Washington University Loss 7-12 1565.65 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
57 Virginia Win 10-7 2128.49 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
62 Purdue Win 12-8 2130.9 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
106 Northwestern Loss 10-12 1244.79 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
83 Indiana Win 13-3 2181.32 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
57 Virginia Win 12-9 2084.19 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
116 LSU Win 11-8 1796.7 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
111 Vanderbilt Win 12-11 1582.16 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 6-13 1597.22 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
82 Mississippi State Win 15-13 1797.08 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 10-12 1959.09 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
43 Tulane Loss 10-12 1600.29 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
54 Emory Win 14-9 2229.19 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
28 Georgia Tech Win 12-10 2226.14 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 9-12 1851.85 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
54 Emory Loss 8-12 1314.17 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)