#99 Tennessee-Chattanooga (14-15)

avg: 1518.93  •  sd: 60.07  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
277 Jacksonville State** Win 11-3 1442.53 Ignored Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
242 Mississippi State -B Win 11-3 1586.06 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
62 Purdue Loss 6-11 1143.05 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
111 Vanderbilt Win 13-9 1875.73 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
47 Alabama Win 13-12 1909.81 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
39 Illinois Loss 11-13 1656.53 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
133 Arizona State Win 9-8 1500.09 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
82 Mississippi State Win 13-4 2182.9 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
370 LSU-B** Win 13-0 958.46 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
95 Arkansas Win 10-8 1797.26 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
83 Indiana Win 13-4 2181.32 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
43 Tulane Loss 9-11 1589.21 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
72 Appalachian State Loss 12-13 1503.65 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
127 Pittsburgh-B Win 13-10 1716.87 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
65 Richmond Loss 12-13 1549.99 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
59 William & Mary Loss 9-15 1211.82 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
89 Florida State Loss 7-11 1084.39 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
44 Virginia Tech Loss 13-14 1689.41 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
54 Emory Loss 10-14 1356.62 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
246 Georgia Southern Win 15-3 1570.37 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
28 Georgia Tech Loss 6-15 1388.02 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
90 Tennessee Loss 11-15 1162.68 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
246 Georgia Southern Win 11-8 1335.98 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
164 Kennesaw State Loss 11-12 1144.13 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
164 Kennesaw State Win 13-11 1497.97 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville** Loss 4-15 1597.22 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
69 Central Florida Loss 6-15 1038.53 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
89 Florida State Loss 12-13 1426.28 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
98 Georgia State Win 15-5 2120.82 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)