#58 Utah Valley (25-8)

avg: 1737.54  •  sd: 75.72  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
350 Arizona State-B** Win 13-2 1111.42 Ignored Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
101 Colorado Mines Loss 10-12 1273.96 Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
381 Denver-B** Win 13-1 887.78 Ignored Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
247 Northern Arizona** Win 13-5 1565.2 Ignored Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
101 Colorado Mines Win 13-9 1930.65 Jan 28th New Year Fest 40
100 Colorado-B Win 13-11 1742.27 Jan 28th New Year Fest 40
137 Kansas Win 13-5 1965.35 Jan 28th New Year Fest 40
405 Colorado State-B** Win 13-0 555.72 Ignored Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
156 Denver Win 13-6 1896.21 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
137 Kansas Win 13-1 1965.35 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
101 Colorado Mines Loss 13-15 1297.9 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
156 Denver Win 11-10 1421.21 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
149 Montana State Win 15-7 1915.09 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
371 Boise State** Win 13-0 956.76 Ignored Mar 9th Big Sky Brawl 2024
180 Brigham Young-B Win 9-4 1794.94 Mar 9th Big Sky Brawl 2024
328 Nevada-Reno** Win 13-4 1202 Ignored Mar 9th Big Sky Brawl 2024
247 Northern Arizona** Win 9-3 1565.2 Ignored Mar 9th Big Sky Brawl 2024
288 Montana** Win 13-4 1380.85 Ignored Mar 10th Big Sky Brawl 2024
328 Nevada-Reno** Win 13-1 1202 Ignored Mar 10th Big Sky Brawl 2024
247 Northern Arizona** Win 13-1 1565.2 Ignored Mar 10th Big Sky Brawl 2024
29 Utah Win 13-10 2275.21 Mar 29th Utah Valley Rally
29 Utah Loss 8-13 1450.91 Mar 30th Utah Valley Rally
32 Utah State Loss 11-13 1680.06 Mar 30th Utah Valley Rally
180 Brigham Young-B Win 15-5 1794.94 Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
321 Idaho** Win 15-2 1240.22 Ignored Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
288 Montana** Win 15-3 1380.85 Ignored Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
32 Utah State Win 15-7 2508.9 Apr 13th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
29 Utah Loss 10-14 1548.36 Apr 14th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2024
149 Montana State Win 13-11 1543.93 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
32 Utah State Loss 7-13 1351.37 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
22 Washington Loss 11-13 1804.65 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
66 Western Washington Loss 12-13 1548.44 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
155 Washington-B Win 13-7 1857.53 May 5th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)