#22 Washington (21-14)

avg: 2033.49  •  sd: 54.02  •  top 16/20: 24.6%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
17 Brigham Young Win 15-14 2245.63 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
34 California-San Diego Win 15-7 2503.45 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
106 Northwestern Win 15-5 2082.91 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
24 UCLA Loss 9-12 1675.33 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
21 British Columbia Loss 9-13 1631.32 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
15 California Loss 10-13 1829.32 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Win 15-11 2288.35 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
40 Victoria Win 12-11 1982.48 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
5 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 10-14 1998.15 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
125 California-Irvine Win 15-9 1907.4 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
32 Utah State Win 13-10 2237.04 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
15 California Loss 12-13 2032.46 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
1 Colorado Loss 11-15 2118.57 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
7 Oregon Loss 10-13 2001.93 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
40 Victoria Win 12-6 2436.79 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
15 California Win 11-9 2406.67 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
40 Victoria Win 11-9 2106.69 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
17 Brigham Young Win 15-14 2245.63 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Win 15-14 2032.18 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
12 Carleton College Loss 11-15 1843.45 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
24 UCLA Loss 13-15 1806.52 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
40 Victoria Win 15-9 2372.96 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
29 Utah Loss 13-14 1822.07 Mar 24th Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
66 Western Washington Win 15-12 1973.93 Mar 24th Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
7 Oregon Loss 12-15 2029.58 Apr 13th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
361 Oregon State-B** Win 15-3 1040.58 Ignored Apr 13th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
355 Portland State** Win 15-0 1091.18 Ignored Apr 13th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
66 Western Washington Win 15-10 2127.04 Apr 13th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
7 Oregon Loss 12-15 2029.58 Apr 14th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
19 Oregon State Win 13-11 2327.3 Apr 14th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
19 Oregon State Loss 11-13 1869.62 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
58 Utah Valley Win 13-11 1966.38 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
66 Western Washington Win 13-9 2092 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
21 British Columbia Loss 8-13 1553.73 May 5th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
40 Victoria Win 13-12 1982.48 May 5th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)