#70 James Madison (15-14)

avg: 1633.19  •  sd: 50.08  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
226 American Win 13-7 1590.65 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
141 Boston University Win 11-7 1809.2 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
77 Carnegie Mellon Win 12-6 2186.78 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 10-12 1357.57 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
65 Richmond Win 12-10 1913.11 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
77 Carnegie Mellon Loss 7-8 1482.47 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
75 Dartmouth Win 13-11 1841.33 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
72 Appalachian State Win 13-10 1956.79 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
96 Notre Dame Win 14-13 1655.99 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
35 Ohio State Loss 7-12 1382.73 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
14 North Carolina State Loss 9-15 1655.99 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
31 North Carolina-Charlotte Loss 13-15 1706.71 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
42 South Carolina Loss 10-12 1608.64 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
48 Auburn Win 12-9 2127.65 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
54 Emory Loss 9-10 1630.32 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 8-12 1554.13 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
162 Rutgers Win 9-6 1701.11 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
74 Cincinnati Loss 9-12 1268.63 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
152 Harvard Win 12-7 1831.76 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
62 Purdue Loss 10-15 1236.15 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
97 Lehigh Win 10-9 1651.34 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
59 William & Mary Win 11-10 1852.3 Apr 20th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2024
104 Liberty Win 11-9 1739.93 Apr 20th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2024
57 Virginia Win 14-10 2137.53 Apr 21st Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2024
57 Virginia Loss 9-15 1223.35 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
126 Towson Win 15-11 1770.25 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
44 Virginia Tech Loss 11-15 1433.24 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
59 William & Mary Loss 9-15 1211.82 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
104 Liberty Loss 6-7 1365.72 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)