#92 Texas A&M (19-20)

avg: 1477.88  •  sd: 49.1  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
128 Central Florida Win 11-8 1693.28 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
47 Emory Loss 6-10 1239.32 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
44 Wisconsin Loss 8-13 1258.04 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
71 Florida Loss 10-12 1352.84 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
39 McGill Loss 10-13 1450.49 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
26 Michigan Loss 10-11 1778.48 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
53 Purdue Win 9-5 2221.94 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
146 South Florida Win 11-10 1394.39 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
134 Florida State Loss 11-12 1185.77 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
118 Mississippi State Win 13-4 1957.25 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 10-12 1215.49 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
283 Texas-San Antonio** Win 13-5 1360.62 Ignored Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
86 Colorado-B Loss 1-13 893.4 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
110 Iowa Loss 7-9 1126.41 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
97 Missouri Loss 5-11 859.97 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Loss 10-12 1418.26 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
84 Boston College Win 14-12 1728.52 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
110 Iowa Loss 13-15 1191.57 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
191 Oklahoma State Loss 12-13 958.79 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
118 Mississippi State Win 10-9 1482.25 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
97 Missouri Win 12-10 1698.1 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
76 Ohio State Loss 9-12 1224.65 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
151 Macalester Win 13-10 1589.46 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
47 Emory Loss 11-13 1506.64 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
76 Ohio State Win 8-6 1870.5 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Win 14-10 2055.09 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
308 Sam Houston** Win 13-5 1251.31 Ignored Apr 12th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2025
14 Texas Loss 7-11 1575.34 Apr 12th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2025
336 Texas A&M-B** Win 13-4 1156.45 Ignored Apr 12th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2025
287 Texas State** Win 13-2 1345.81 Ignored Apr 12th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2025
14 Texas Loss 6-15 1442.23 Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2025
283 Texas-San Antonio Win 13-7 1318.15 Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2025
283 Texas-San Antonio** Win 12-5 1360.62 Ignored Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2025
191 Oklahoma State Win 15-11 1464.96 Apr 26th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
14 Texas Loss 8-15 1477.43 Apr 26th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
42 Colorado State Loss 6-11 1219.95 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
86 Colorado-B Win 13-9 1911.97 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
114 Denver Win 10-7 1765.08 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
11 Washington University Loss 8-13 1586.41 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)