#116 Denver (17-11)

avg: 1384.14  •  sd: 54.83  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
186 Arizona Win 17-8 1720 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
316 Arizona State-B** Win 17-1 1218.09 Ignored Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
249 Northern Arizona Win 17-5 1485.56 Jan 25th New Year Fest 2025
377 Denver-B** Win 13-2 864.69 Ignored Jan 26th New Year Fest 2025
109 San Diego State Loss 7-11 961.88 Jan 26th New Year Fest 2025
198 North Carolina-B Win 9-6 1494.75 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
178 Ohio Win 7-4 1662.91 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
256 Illinois-B Win 9-3 1460.82 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
33 Elon Loss 1-11 1242.66 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
141 Pittsburgh-B Win 12-11 1423.32 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
33 Elon Loss 4-9 1242.66 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
360 Colorado Mesa** Win 13-0 991.52 Ignored Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
391 Colorado Mines-B** Win 13-0 756.13 Ignored Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
40 Lewis & Clark Loss 4-13 1207.59 Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
166 Montana State Loss 7-8 1086.12 Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
279 California-B** Win 15-6 1377.31 Ignored Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2025
89 Colorado College Loss 14-15 1371.88 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2025
258 Colorado State-B Win 15-1 1444.48 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2025
5 Colorado** Loss 6-15 1758.91 Ignored Apr 12th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
258 Colorado State-B Win 11-7 1311.37 Apr 12th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
360 Colorado Mesa** Win 15-4 991.52 Ignored Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
86 Colorado-B Loss 10-14 1111.08 Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
377 Denver-B** Win 15-4 864.69 Ignored Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
5 Colorado Loss 7-15 1758.91 Apr 26th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
201 Saint Louis Win 13-3 1660.04 Apr 26th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
258 Colorado State-B Win 13-3 1444.48 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
14 Texas** Loss 5-13 1465.09 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
90 Texas A&M Loss 7-10 1106.78 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)