#55 Maryland (22-7)

avg: 1695.07  •  sd: 51.87  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
80 Case Western Reserve Win 13-10 1890.53 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
63 Duke Win 13-8 2144.95 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
4 North Carolina** Loss 2-13 1759.83 Ignored Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
62 North Carolina State Win 13-12 1776.33 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
35 South Carolina Loss 11-14 1520.87 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
28 Virginia Win 15-13 2096.26 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
49 Chicago Loss 7-13 1191.12 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
19 Tufts Loss 8-13 1534.37 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
53 William & Mary Win 13-12 1835.3 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
82 Tennessee Win 9-8 1670.96 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
92 Yale Win 7-3 2090.22 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
88 Carnegie Mellon Win 15-11 1887.74 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
108 Columbia Win 11-10 1568.45 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
51 Cornell Win 11-10 1848.89 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
161 Delaware Win 14-6 1830.36 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
88 Carnegie Mellon Win 10-8 1769.24 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
51 Cornell Win 10-8 1986.56 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
97 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 5-8 1021.03 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
161 Delaware Win 14-7 1813.24 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
154 Johns Hopkins Win 12-7 1776.85 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
207 Towson Win 11-6 1585.9 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
298 Maryland-Baltimore County** Win 15-6 1300.36 Ignored Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
161 Delaware Win 12-9 1575.72 Apr 13th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
64 Georgetown Loss 8-13 1149.55 Apr 13th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
172 East Carolina Win 12-10 1422.52 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
28 Virginia Win 12-11 2007.08 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
53 William & Mary Win 11-10 1835.3 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
64 Georgetown Loss 14-15 1520.71 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
69 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 12-11 1743.97 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)