#64 Georgetown (16-15)

avg: 1645.71  •  sd: 58.52  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
33 Elon Loss 10-13 1514.51 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 7-12 1477.99 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
28 Virginia Loss 12-13 1757.08 Feb 1st Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
106 Appalachian State Win 13-11 1678.33 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
63 Duke Loss 11-13 1419.95 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
33 Elon Loss 11-14 1529.32 Feb 2nd Carolina Kickoff mens 2025
47 Emory Loss 6-13 1155.99 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
74 Temple Loss 10-13 1271.87 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 9-13 1333.38 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
99 Syracuse Win 11-4 2068.46 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
70 Dartmouth Loss 7-15 1018.5 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
77 Ohio State Win 15-12 1888.56 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
62 North Carolina State Loss 10-14 1252.63 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
53 William & Mary Loss 9-10 1585.3 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
248 NYU** Win 15-3 1488.02 Ignored Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
167 Pennsylvania Win 13-5 1809.59 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
219 Princeton Win 13-6 1609.83 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
85 Boston College Loss 8-15 951.39 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
141 Pittsburgh-B Win 15-7 1898.32 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
181 American Win 14-5 1755.01 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
161 Delaware Win 14-6 1830.36 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
232 George Washington** Win 15-2 1540.66 Ignored Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
154 Johns Hopkins Win 15-11 1637.5 Apr 12th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
55 Maryland Win 13-8 2191.23 Apr 13th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2025
106 Appalachian State Win 15-8 2014.3 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 15-4 2351.95 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
45 Virginia Tech Loss 7-13 1218.07 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
62 North Carolina State Win 15-13 1865.51 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
63 Duke Loss 8-9 1523.79 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
55 Maryland Win 15-14 1820.07 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
59 James Madison Loss 13-15 1455.55 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)