#148 Rutgers (3-11)

avg: 730.6  •  sd: 71.94  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
178 NYU Win 9-7 805.98 Feb 5th New Jersey Warmup
91 Syracuse Loss 10-13 761.61 Feb 10th New Jersey Warmup
108 Princeton Loss 9-11 758.42 Feb 10th New Jersey Warmup
132 Pennsylvania Win 12-7 1387.09 Feb 10th New Jersey Warmup
122 Lehigh Loss 11-14 628.59 Feb 11th New Jersey Warmup
167 Columbia Loss 11-14 298.03 Feb 11th New Jersey Warmup
178 NYU Win 12-10 764.77 Feb 11th New Jersey Warmup
66 Emory Loss 6-11 708.59 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
68 Cincinnati Loss 7-13 692.62 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
72 James Madison Loss 6-9 810.6 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
61 Auburn Loss 7-9 1012.26 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
101 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 5-8 571.33 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
122 Lehigh Loss 7-15 341.93 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
25 North Carolina-Wilmington** Loss 5-13 1067.14 Ignored Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)