#211 UCLA-B (13-15)

avg: 1025.29  •  sd: 60.71  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
374 Cal Poly-SLO-C Win 13-7 845.93 Feb 1st Pres Day Quals men
350 California-San Diego-B Win 13-8 932.44 Feb 1st Pres Day Quals men
65 Grand Canyon Loss 7-13 1087.52 Feb 1st Pres Day Quals men
119 Cal Poly-SLO-B Loss 8-12 926.05 Feb 2nd Pres Day Quals men
173 California-Davis Win 9-5 1711.42 Feb 2nd Pres Day Quals men
127 Santa Clara Loss 7-11 874.71 Feb 2nd Pres Day Quals men
175 California-Santa Cruz-B Loss 4-12 580.4 Feb 8th Stanford Open Mens
237 Loyola Marymount Loss 9-11 676.17 Feb 8th Stanford Open Mens
327 Cal State-Long Beach Loss 6-9 163.72 Feb 9th Stanford Open Mens
237 Loyola Marymount Loss 10-11 800.37 Feb 9th Stanford Open Mens
299 California-Santa Barbara-B Win 12-7 1208.27 Mar 29th Southwest Showdown 2025
109 San Diego State Loss 5-11 828.77 Mar 29th Southwest Showdown 2025
124 San Jose State Loss 6-9 940.37 Mar 29th Southwest Showdown 2025
327 Cal State-Long Beach Win 11-6 1128.98 Mar 30th Southwest Showdown 2025
299 California-Santa Barbara-B Win 13-7 1245.29 Mar 30th Southwest Showdown 2025
199 Occidental Win 11-10 1200.05 Mar 30th Southwest Showdown 2025
316 Arizona State-B Win 12-9 963.45 Apr 12th Southwest Dev Mens Conferences 2025
350 California-San Diego-B Win 12-7 956.79 Apr 12th Southwest Dev Mens Conferences 2025
175 California-Santa Cruz-B Loss 8-11 814.79 Apr 12th Southwest Dev Mens Conferences 2025
285 Southern California-B Win 9-7 1032.79 Apr 12th Southwest Dev Mens Conferences 2025
279 California-B Win 14-9 1251.17 Apr 13th Southwest Dev Mens Conferences 2025
299 California-Santa Barbara-B Win 13-10 1015.9 Apr 13th Southwest Dev Mens Conferences 2025
175 California-Santa Cruz-B Win 15-7 1780.4 Apr 13th Southwest Dev Mens Conferences 2025
13 California** Loss 4-15 1503.63 Ignored Apr 26th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
109 San Diego State Loss 11-14 1115.43 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
84 Southern California Loss 10-12 1281.23 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
119 Cal Poly-SLO-B Loss 10-15 913.6 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
124 San Jose State Loss 6-15 758.94 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)