#84 Southern California (20-13)

avg: 1519.35  •  sd: 53.59  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
216 Cal Poly-Pomona Win 13-5 1615.56 Feb 1st Pres Day Quals men
299 California-Santa Barbara-B Win 13-6 1287.76 Feb 1st Pres Day Quals men
127 Santa Clara Win 13-5 1941.61 Feb 1st Pres Day Quals men
136 California-Irvine Win 10-9 1445.22 Feb 2nd Pres Day Quals men
65 Grand Canyon Loss 5-13 1045.05 Feb 2nd Pres Day Quals men
186 Arizona Win 11-5 1720 Feb 15th Vice Presidents Day Invite 2025
120 Arizona State Win 13-3 1965.92 Feb 15th Vice Presidents Day Invite 2025
216 Cal Poly-Pomona Win 11-10 1140.56 Feb 15th Vice Presidents Day Invite 2025
124 San Jose State Win 10-9 1483.94 Feb 15th Vice Presidents Day Invite 2025
136 California-Irvine Win 12-4 1920.22 Feb 16th Vice Presidents Day Invite 2025
65 Grand Canyon Loss 11-12 1520.05 Feb 16th Vice Presidents Day Invite 2025
41 California-San Diego Loss 9-12 1446.95 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
9 California-Santa Cruz Loss 6-13 1585.14 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
45 Virginia Tech Loss 11-12 1650.6 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
54 UCLA Win 13-8 2200.24 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
31 California-Santa Barbara Loss 10-13 1533.73 Mar 9th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
127 Santa Clara Win 12-7 1862.12 Mar 9th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
327 Cal State-Long Beach** Win 13-2 1182.29 Ignored Mar 29th Southwest Showdown 2025
107 Claremont Win 13-10 1772.96 Mar 29th Southwest Showdown 2025
199 Occidental Win 13-10 1403.19 Mar 29th Southwest Showdown 2025
107 Claremont Loss 3-13 844.82 Mar 30th Southwest Showdown 2025
109 San Diego State Loss 8-13 932.61 Mar 30th Southwest Showdown 2025
124 San Jose State Loss 10-13 1030.8 Mar 30th Southwest Showdown 2025
216 Cal Poly-Pomona Win 13-2 1615.56 Apr 12th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2025
31 California-Santa Barbara Loss 8-12 1420.72 Apr 12th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2025
237 Loyola Marymount Win 13-7 1482.91 Apr 12th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2025
54 UCLA Loss 8-10 1441.42 Apr 12th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2025
109 San Diego State Win 14-9 1902.64 Apr 13th SoCal D I Mens Conferences 2025
173 California-Davis Win 15-10 1635.96 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
65 Grand Canyon Loss 10-11 1520.05 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
46 Stanford Loss 14-15 1640.36 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
211 UCLA-B Win 12-10 1263.42 Apr 26th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
120 Arizona State Win 13-11 1594.76 Apr 27th Southwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)