#104 Mississippi State (8-5)

avg: 1019.91  •  sd: 94.31  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
96 Berry Win 11-6 1608.79 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
186 Jacksonville State Win 11-3 1075.97 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
67 Purdue Loss 9-11 1004.55 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
61 Auburn Loss 8-13 795.44 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
99 LSU Win 12-11 1157.01 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
147 Harding Win 8-0 1338.81 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
139 Spring Hill Loss 8-11 465.53 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
52 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 4-13 768.39 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
75 Arizona State Loss 9-10 1083.42 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
221 LSU-B** Win 13-0 762.52 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
245 Tulane-B** Win 13-3 288.2 Ignored Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
135 Texas-San Antonio Win 11-9 1090.68 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
193 Trinity** Win 13-3 990.39 Ignored Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)